L’École des cotes

Elena Rybakina v Jessica Pegula

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-25 17:19 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prévision 65.67%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -5.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.59%65.67%65.60%67.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.69%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.33%2.91cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.768%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.27%34.33%34.40%36.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.782.802.9839.22%35.95%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +2.29%E +0.768%K +1.16%G +0.026%4.0%2026-03-25 17:10
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +2.29%E +0.768%K +1.16%G +0.026%4.0%2026-03-25 17:10
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV +0.573%E +0.196%K +0.297%G +0.002%2.6%2026-03-25 17:10
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.230%E +0.079%K +0.120%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 16:59
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.457%E -0.157%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 17:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.457%E -0.157%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 17:06
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 17:06
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:09
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 17:10
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.52%E -0.886%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 17:10
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-25 17:05
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 17:10
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 17:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 17:10
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 17:07
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 17:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 17:10
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 17:10
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -4.92%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 17:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 17:10
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.40%E -5.25%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 17:10
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 17:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 17:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 17:10
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 17:06
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 17:10
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 17:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 16:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 17:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 17:10
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 17:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 17:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 17:09
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 17:10
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 17:10
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 17:09
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-25 17:10
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.07%E -3.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.07%E -3.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 17:10
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.75%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 17:10
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 17:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 17:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-03-25 17:10
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-25 17:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-25 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-25 17:10
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-25 17:10
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-25 17:10