Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider v Tereza Valentova

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prediction 54.97%1.82fair odd
EV +9.94%
Edge +4.97%
Kelly +9.94%
Growth +0.989%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%54.37%55.12%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.781.792.0062.50%56.04%55.87%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tereza Valentova (Visit)

Prediction 45.03%2.22fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%45.63%44.88%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.002.002.2054.95%50.06%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 54.97%; Tereza Valentova (Visit): 45.03%. For Diana Shnaider (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +9.94%E +4.97%K +9.94%G +0.989%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -17.60%E -9.62%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:46
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV +8.29%E +4.21%K +8.55%G +0.709%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -13.55%E -7.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +7.75%E +3.95%K +8.07%G +0.625%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -16.25%E -8.74%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +7.75%E +3.95%K +8.07%G +0.625%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -16.25%E -8.74%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:44
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +7.20%E +3.69%K +7.57%G +0.545%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -18.05%E -9.92%K -22.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:40
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.00%E +2.62%K +5.49%G +0.274%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.00%E -7.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 14:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.00%E +2.62%K +5.49%G +0.274%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.00%E -7.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.45%E +2.34%K +4.94%G +0.220%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.45%E -7.60%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.45%E +2.34%K +4.94%G +0.220%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.45%E -7.60%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +4.45%E +2.34%K +4.94%G +0.220%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -15.80%E -8.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.50%K +3.22%G +0.090%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.80%E -8.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:29
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.50%K +3.22%G +0.090%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.80%E -8.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.70%E +0.918%K +2.00%G +0.034%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -12.20%E -6.25%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +0.599%E +0.327%K +0.721%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -15.35%E -8.16%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:29
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +0.599%E +0.327%K +0.721%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -15.35%E -8.16%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:29
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.05%E -0.584%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.05%E -0.584%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.29%E -5.73%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.29%E -5.73%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:47
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 14:49
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.70%E -1.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:48
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.70%E -1.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -13.10%E -6.79%K -14.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.25%E -1.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -13.10%E -6.79%K -14.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 14:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 14:47
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:49
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 14:47
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:47
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:46
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:48
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.64%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:49
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 14:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:48
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 14:47
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.50%E -7.14%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.938%E -0.427%K -0.782%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.04%E -7.53%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-20 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-20 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-20 14:50
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%4.3%2026-03-20 14:48
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%6.1%2026-03-20 14:48
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%7.3%2026-03-20 14:49
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%12.4%2026-03-20 14:50