La escuela de los momios

Diana Shnaider v Tereza Valentova

Inicio: 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 54.97%1.82momio equitativo
EV +9.94%
Ventaja +4.97%
Kelly +9.94%
Crecimiento +0.989%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%54.37%55.12%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.781.792.0062.50%56.04%55.87%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tereza Valentova (Visitante)

Predicción 45.03%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.938%
Ventaja -0.427%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%45.63%44.88%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.002.002.2054.95%50.06%50.00%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +9.94%E +4.97%K +9.94%G +0.989%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -17.60%E -9.62%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:46
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV +8.29%E +4.21%K +8.55%G +0.709%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -13.55%E -7.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 14:30
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +7.75%E +3.95%K +8.07%G +0.625%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -16.25%E -8.74%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +7.75%E +3.95%K +8.07%G +0.625%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -16.25%E -8.74%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:44
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +7.20%E +3.69%K +7.57%G +0.545%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -18.05%E -9.92%K -22.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:40
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.00%E +2.62%K +5.49%G +0.274%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.00%E -7.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 14:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.00%E +2.62%K +5.49%G +0.274%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.00%E -7.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 14:29
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.45%E +2.34%K +4.94%G +0.220%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.45%E -7.60%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.45%E +2.34%K +4.94%G +0.220%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.45%E -7.60%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +4.45%E +2.34%K +4.94%G +0.220%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -15.80%E -8.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:33
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.50%K +3.22%G +0.090%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.80%E -8.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:29
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.50%K +3.22%G +0.090%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.80%E -8.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.70%E +0.918%K +2.00%G +0.034%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -12.20%E -6.25%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +0.599%E +0.327%K +0.721%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -15.35%E -8.16%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +0.599%E +0.327%K +0.721%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -15.35%E -8.16%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:29
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:49
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:49
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.501%E -0.277%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:49
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.05%E -0.584%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.05%E -0.584%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:50
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.29%E -5.73%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.29%E -5.73%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:47
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 14:49
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -1.60%E -0.894%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -11.75%E -5.99%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 14:50
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.70%E -1.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:48
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.70%E -1.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -13.10%E -6.79%K -14.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.25%E -1.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -13.10%E -6.79%K -14.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 14:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:50
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 14:47
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:49
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 14:47
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.69%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 14:47
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 14:46
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:48
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:50
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 14:49
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.64%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 14:49
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 14:49
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 14:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:48
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 14:50
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.44%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 14:47
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.50%E -7.14%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.938%E -0.427%K -0.782%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 14:49
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.04%E -7.53%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-20 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-20 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-20 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-20 14:50
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%4.3%2026-03-20 14:48
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%6.1%2026-03-20 14:48
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%7.3%2026-03-20 14:49
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%12.4%2026-03-20 14:50