Language:English
Darja Semenistaja v Sinja Kraus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Darja Semenistaja (Local)
Prediction 51.38%1.95fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.36%51.39%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8657.14%54.91%54.64%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sinja Kraus (Visit)
Prediction 48.62%2.06fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.64%48.61%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.18%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Semenistaja (Local): 51.38%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 48.62%. For Sinja Kraus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.43%E -2.38%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.25%E -1.64%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.23%E -2.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.23%E -2.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:28 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.45%E -2.96%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.74%E -1.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 19:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.66%E -3.47%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:27 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.69%E -2.93%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:02 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-17 19:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |