La scuola delle quote

Darja Semenistaja v Sinja Kraus

Inizio: 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Darja Semenistaja (Casa)

Previsione 51.38%1.95quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -5.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.36%51.39%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.821.831.8657.14%54.91%54.64%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sinja Kraus (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.62%2.06quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.64%48.61%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.18%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.43%E -2.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.25%E -1.64%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:05
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.23%E -2.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.23%E -2.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:28
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:28
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.67%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:28
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.45%E -2.96%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.74%E -1.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 19:23
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.66%E -3.47%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:05
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:27
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:05
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.48%E -3.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.69%E -2.93%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:31
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:02
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:29
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.51%E -4.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -10.08%E -5.76%K -13.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 19:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-17 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%3.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%4.3%2026-03-17 19:30