StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Darja Semenistaja v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Darja Semenistaja (Hemma)

Prognos 29.69%3.37rättvist odds
EV -0.545%
Fördel -0.163%
Kelly -0.232%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.73%29.79%29.71%31.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.163.153.3533.33%31.60%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Borta)

Prognos 70.31%1.42rättvist odds
EV -2.27%
Fördel -1.63%
Kelly -5.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.49%70.21%70.29%71.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.351.351.3975.19%73.89%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Darja Semenistaja (Hemma): 29.69%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Borta): 70.31%. För Darja Semenistaja (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.37. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.35, med väntevärdet -0.545%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.545%E -0.163%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 12:44
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -1.73%E -0.523%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:00
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 10:00
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 02:45
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 03:30
DraftKings🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -2.92%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 21:13
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.22%E -0.987%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 07:15
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 10:14
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:25
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:20
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 12:39
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.27%E -1.63%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 03:45
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:44
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:50
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:30
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:50
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:15
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.78%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.78%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:39
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 11:09
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 04:40
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 12:58
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:10
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:35
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:45
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 11:08
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 11:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:24
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-19 14:39