La scuola delle quote

Darja Semenistaja v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Inizio: 2026-03-19 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Darja Semenistaja (Casa)

Previsione 29.69%3.37quota equa
EV -0.545%
Vantaggio -0.163%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%29.79%29.71%31.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.153.3533.33%31.60%31.75%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.31%1.42quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -5.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%70.21%70.29%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.351.351.3975.19%73.89%74.07%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.545%E -0.163%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 12:44
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -1.73%E -0.523%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 12:00
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:00
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 10:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 02:45
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 03:30
DraftKings3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -2.92%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 21:13
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.22%E -0.987%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 07:15
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 10:14
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:25
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:20
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:19
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 12:39
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.27%E -1.63%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 03:45
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:44
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 11:14
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:50
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:50
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:15
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:10
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 16:00
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.78%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.78%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:39
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 11:09
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 10:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 11:09
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 11:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 04:40
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 12:58
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:10
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:35
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:45
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 11:08
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 11:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:24
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-19 14:39