A Escola das Odds

Darja Semenistaja v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Início: 2026-03-19 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Darja Semenistaja (Local)

Previsão 29.69%3.37odd justa
EV -0.545%
Vantagem -0.163%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.73%29.79%29.71%31.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.163.153.3533.33%31.60%31.75%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visitante)

Previsão 70.31%1.42odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -5.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%70.21%70.29%71.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.351.351.3975.19%73.89%74.07%71.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.545%E -0.163%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 12:44
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -1.73%E -0.523%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 12:00
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:00
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 10:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 02:45
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.03%E -0.615%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 03:30
DraftKings3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -2.92%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 21:13
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.22%E -0.987%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 07:15
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 10:14
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 08:25
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:20
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:19
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 12:39
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -2.27%E -1.63%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 03:45
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:44
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 11:14
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:50
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 23:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:50
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:15
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:10
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 11:09
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 16:00
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.78%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.78%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:39
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 11:09
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 10:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 11:09
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.78%E -4.32%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 11:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 04:40
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 12:58
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 20:10
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.38%E -3.22%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:35
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:45
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:44
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 11:08
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.49%E -4.88%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-19 13:24
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-19 14:39