La scuola delle quote

Dalma Galfi v Elvina Kalieva

Inizio: 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dalma Galfi (Casa)

Previsione 31.13%3.21quota equa
EV +149.05%
Vantaggio +18.63%
Kelly +21.29%
Crescita +31.74%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.70%33.80%24.92%57.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.623.273.908.0061.73%30.62%25.64%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elvina Kalieva (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.87%1.45quota equa
EV +49.44%
Vantaggio +22.79%
Kelly +42.26%
Crescita +20.90%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.97%66.20%75.08%88.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.501.242.1794.34%66.47%80.65%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +149.05%E +18.63%K +21.29%G +31.74%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -27.00%E -25.47%K -449.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:00
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +34.80%E +8.04%K +10.45%G +3.64%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -17.36%E -14.46%K -86.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:54
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +32.31%E +7.60%K +9.94%G +3.21%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -17.36%E -14.46%K -86.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:53
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +30.75%E +7.32%K +9.61%G +2.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:53
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +30.75%E +7.32%K +9.61%G +2.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:53
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:54
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +24.53%E +6.13%K +8.18%G +2.01%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:53
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +24.53%E +6.13%K +8.18%G +2.01%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:54
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +24.53%E +6.13%K +8.18%G +2.01%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:53
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:54
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:53
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:54
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:53
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:54
DraftKings3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +22.35%E +5.69%K +7.63%G +1.70%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -13.23%E -10.50%K -50.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:53
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +21.41%E +5.49%K +7.38%G +1.58%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:53
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +21.41%E +5.49%K +7.38%G +1.58%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -16.67%E -13.78%K -79.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +21.41%E +5.49%K +7.38%G +1.58%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -16.67%E -13.78%K -79.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 18:54
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +16.74%E +4.46%K +6.09%G +1.02%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -13.91%E -11.13%K -55.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:53
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +16.74%E +4.46%K +6.09%G +1.02%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 18:53
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +16.74%E +4.46%K +6.09%G +1.02%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:53
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -22.17%E -8.87%K -14.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +3.30%E +2.20%K +6.61%G +0.218%6.7%2026-03-19 18:46
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -25.91%E -10.89%K -18.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +10.19%E +6.37%K +16.98%G +1.73%4.5%2026-03-19 18:22
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -40.54%E -21.22%K -44.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +26.03%E +14.22%K +31.36%G +8.16%7.0%2026-03-19 18:52
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -41.78%E -22.34%K -48.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +28.78%E +15.39%K +33.09%G +9.52%7.0%2026-03-19 18:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -42.41%E -22.92%K -49.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +27.41%E +14.81%K +32.24%G +8.84%8.1%2026-03-19 18:53
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -43.03%E -23.51%K -51.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24%4.6%2026-03-19 18:52
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -43.96%E -24.42%K -54.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +34.29%E +17.59%K +36.10%G +12.38%6.8%2026-03-19 15:35
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -44.59%E -25.05%K -57.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +43.94%E +21.02%K +40.31%G +17.71%4.0%2026-03-19 15:37
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -44.59%E -25.05%K -57.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +43.94%E +21.02%K +40.31%G +17.71%4.0%2026-03-19 15:37
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -44.90%E -25.37%K -58.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV +28.78%E +15.39%K +33.09%G +9.52%10.0%2026-03-19 18:53
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -45.52%E -26.01%K -60.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +41.18%E +20.09%K +39.22%G +16.15%5.9%2026-03-19 15:36
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -46.14%E -26.67%K -63.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24%7.8%2026-03-19 18:52
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -46.14%E -26.67%K -63.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24%7.8%2026-03-19 15:35
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -46.14%E -26.67%K -63.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24%7.8%2026-03-19 15:35
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -46.77%E -27.35%K -65.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +48.07%E +22.36%K +41.80%G +20.09%5.0%2026-03-19 18:58
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -48.63%E -29.47%K -74.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +49.44%E +22.79%K +42.26%G +20.90%6.7%2026-03-19 15:36
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -49.57%E -30.60%K -79.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +48.07%E +22.36%K +41.80%G +20.09%8.2%2026-03-19 15:36
Pinnacle⚠ implausibile1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%EV -64.20%E -55.83%K -427.99%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%EV +354.53%E +53.72%K +63.31%G +224.45%2.1%2026-03-19 18:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-03-19 18:54
ProphetX4.45I 22.47%NM 22.07%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.93%1.8%2026-03-19 18:53
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-03-19 18:53
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%4.4%2026-03-19 18:53
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%8.0%2026-03-19 18:53
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-19 18:56