La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dalma Galfi v Elvina Kalieva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dalma Galfi (Local)
Predicción 31.13%3.21momio equitativo
EV +149.05%
Ventaja +18.63%
Kelly +21.29%
Crecimiento +31.74%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.70%33.80%24.92%57.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.623.273.908.0061.73%30.62%25.64%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elvina Kalieva (Visitante)
Predicción 68.87%1.45momio equitativo
EV +49.44%
Ventaja +22.79%
Kelly +42.26%
Crecimiento +20.90%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.97%66.20%75.08%88.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.501.242.1794.34%66.47%80.65%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +149.05%E +18.63%K +21.29%G +31.74% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -27.00%E -25.47%K -449.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +34.80%E +8.04%K +10.45%G +3.64% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -17.36%E -14.46%K -86.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +32.31%E +7.60%K +9.94%G +3.21% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -17.36%E -14.46%K -86.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| NordicBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +30.75%E +7.32%K +9.61%G +2.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Betsson | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +30.75%E +7.32%K +9.61%G +2.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +27.64%E +6.74%K +8.92%G +2.46% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +24.53%E +6.13%K +8.18%G +2.01% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +24.53%E +6.13%K +8.18%G +2.01% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +24.53%E +6.13%K +8.18%G +2.01% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Bally Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +22.97%E +5.81%K +7.79%G +1.79% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -15.29%E -12.43%K -66.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV +22.35%E +5.69%K +7.63%G +1.70% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.72%EV -13.23%E -10.50%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +21.41%E +5.49%K +7.38%G +1.58% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +21.41%E +5.49%K +7.38%G +1.58% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -16.67%E -13.78%K -79.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +21.41%E +5.49%K +7.38%G +1.58% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -16.67%E -13.78%K -79.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +16.74%E +4.46%K +6.09%G +1.02% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -13.91%E -11.13%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +16.74%E +4.46%K +6.09%G +1.02% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -14.60%E -11.78%K -60.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +16.74%E +4.46%K +6.09%G +1.02% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -15.98%E -13.10%K -72.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -22.17%E -8.87%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +3.30%E +2.20%K +6.61%G +0.218% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:46 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -25.91%E -10.89%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +10.19%E +6.37%K +16.98%G +1.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 18:22 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -40.54%E -21.22%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +26.03%E +14.22%K +31.36%G +8.16% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:52 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -41.78%E -22.34%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +28.78%E +15.39%K +33.09%G +9.52% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -42.41%E -22.92%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +27.41%E +14.81%K +32.24%G +8.84% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -43.03%E -23.51%K -51.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:52 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -43.96%E -24.42%K -54.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +34.29%E +17.59%K +36.10%G +12.38% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -44.59%E -25.05%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +43.94%E +21.02%K +40.31%G +17.71% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 15:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -44.59%E -25.05%K -57.16%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +43.94%E +21.02%K +40.31%G +17.71% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 15:37 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -44.90%E -25.37%K -58.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV +28.78%E +15.39%K +33.09%G +9.52% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -45.52%E -26.01%K -60.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +41.18%E +20.09%K +39.22%G +16.15% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 15:36 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -46.14%E -26.67%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 18:52 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -46.14%E -26.67%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:35 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -46.14%E -26.67%K -63.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +37.74%E +18.87%K +37.74%G +14.24% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 15:35 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -46.77%E -27.35%K -65.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +48.07%E +22.36%K +41.80%G +20.09% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -48.63%E -29.47%K -74.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +49.44%E +22.79%K +42.26%G +20.90% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -49.57%E -30.60%K -79.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +48.07%E +22.36%K +41.80%G +20.09% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 15:36 |
| Pinnacle⚠ inverosímil | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%EV -64.20%E -55.83%K -427.99%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%EV +354.53%E +53.72%K +63.31%G +224.45% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| ProphetX | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.07% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.93% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Novig | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 18:53 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-19 18:56 |