Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Karolina Muchova

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 51.43%1.94fair odd
EV -0.740%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.35%51.40%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.851.851.9357.47%53.98%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visit)

Prediction 48.57%2.06fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.65%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%48.65%48.60%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.932.1254.05%51.54%51.81%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 51.43%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 48.57%. For Karolina Muchova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.51%E -6.04%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.97%E +1.40%K +2.65%G +0.079%4.6%2026-03-26 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 18:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.740%E -0.383%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 18:55
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 09:39
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:09
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:24
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 13:54
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:45
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 17:39
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.00%E -5.71%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 18:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 18:45
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-03-26 18:55
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-26 18:50
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-03-26 18:55
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-26 18:55