Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coco Gauff v Karolina Muchova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 51.43%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.740%
Avantage -0.383%
Kelly -0.795%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.35%51.40%54.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.851.851.9357.47%53.98%54.05%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.57%2.06cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +2.65%
Croissance +0.079%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.08%48.65%48.60%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.941.932.1254.05%51.54%51.81%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Coco Gauff (Local) : 51.43% ; Karolina Muchova (Visiteur) : 48.57%. Pour Karolina Muchova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.06. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.12, soit une espérance positive de +2.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.51%E -6.04%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.97%E +1.40%K +2.65%G +0.079%4.6%2026-03-26 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 18:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.740%E -0.383%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 18:55
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 09:39
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:09
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:24
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 13:54
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:45
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:49
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.21%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 17:39
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.00%E -5.71%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 18:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 18:45
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-03-26 18:55
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-26 18:50
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-03-26 18:55
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-26 18:55