A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Qinwen Zheng

Início: 2026-03-23 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 87.01%1.15odd justa
EV +4.42%
Vantagem +3.68%
Kelly +22.08%
Crescimento +0.975%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.13%86.65%86.78%90.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.051.101.091.2095.24%90.95%91.74%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Previsão 12.99%7.70odd justa
EV +29.86%
Vantagem +2.99%
Kelly +3.32%
Crescimento +0.991%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.58%13.35%13.22%20.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.556.867.0010.0021.98%14.58%14.29%10.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +29.86%E +2.99%K +3.32%G +0.991%4.3%2026-03-23 21:24
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +29.86%E +2.99%K +3.32%G +0.991%4.3%2026-03-23 21:24
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +16.88%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.356%4.6%2026-03-23 21:24
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +16.88%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.356%6.3%2026-03-23 21:24
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +13.63%E +1.56%K +1.76%G +0.240%4.9%2026-03-23 21:24
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +10.38%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.144%7.0%2026-03-23 21:25
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +5.19%E +0.640%K +0.731%G +0.038%4.1%2026-03-23 21:24
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022%5.1%2026-03-23 21:25
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022%5.1%2026-03-23 21:24
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022%5.1%2026-03-23 21:24
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022%5.1%2026-03-23 21:23
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022%6.0%2026-03-23 21:24
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:24
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:25
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:24
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:24
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:25
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:25
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.50%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.50%EV -4.55%E -0.619%K -0.717%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -5.85%E -0.807%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:25
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:24
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:24
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 21:24
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 21:24
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:25
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:24
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:24
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:24
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:24
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.34%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 21:25
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 85.14%EV +0.066%E +0.057%K +0.439%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.86%EV -14.42%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-23 21:20
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.59%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 21:25
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 21:25
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 21:25
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 21:24
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.84%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.84%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 21:24
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 21:00
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 21:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.08%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 21:00
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.08%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 20:58
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV -24.42%E -4.20%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -24.68%E -4.26%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 21:21
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -25.33%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:05
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.33%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:15
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 20:59
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 20:59
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV +0.936%E +0.807%K +5.85%G +0.055%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -31.82%E -6.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 21:00
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV +0.936%E +0.807%K +5.85%G +0.055%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -32.47%E -6.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 20:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -32.47%E -6.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 21:15
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +1.81%E +1.54%K +10.62%G +0.192%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:00
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV +4.42%E +3.68%K +22.08%G +0.975%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -40.91%E -8.99%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 20:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-23 21:25
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-23 21:25
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%2.4%2026-03-23 21:24
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%5.0%2026-03-23 21:24
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 88.65%7.81I 12.80%NM 11.35%12.8%2026-03-23 21:25