L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Qinwen Zheng
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 87.01%1.15cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +3.68%
Kelly +22.08%
Croissance +0.975%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.13%86.65%86.78%90.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.091.2095.24%90.95%91.74%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.99%7.70cote équitable
EV +29.86%
Avantage +2.99%
Kelly +3.32%
Croissance +0.991%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.58%13.35%13.22%20.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.556.867.0010.0021.98%14.58%14.29%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +29.86%E +2.99%K +3.32%G +0.991% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +29.86%E +2.99%K +3.32%G +0.991% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +16.88%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.356% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +16.88%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.356% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +13.63%E +1.56%K +1.76%G +0.240% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| TAB | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +10.38%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.144% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +5.19%E +0.640%K +0.731%G +0.038% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Unibet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:23 |
| theScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Caesars | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Fliff | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.50%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.50%EV -4.55%E -0.619%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -5.85%E -0.807%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.34%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.14%EV +0.066%E +0.057%K +0.439%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.86%EV -14.42%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.59%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.84%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.84%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.08%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.08%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 20:58 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV -24.42%E -4.20%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -24.68%E -4.26%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 21:21 |
| Bet Right | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -25.33%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.33%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV +0.936%E +0.807%K +5.85%G +0.055% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -31.82%E -6.06%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| ReBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV +0.936%E +0.807%K +5.85%G +0.055% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -32.47%E -6.24%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -32.47%E -6.24%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +1.81%E +1.54%K +10.62%G +0.192% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV +4.42%E +3.68%K +22.08%G +0.975% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -40.91%E -8.99%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39% | 2.4% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 88.65% | 7.81I 12.80%NM 11.35% | 12.8% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |