La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Qinwen Zheng
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 87.01%1.15momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +3.68%
Kelly +22.08%
Crecimiento +0.975%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.13%86.65%86.78%90.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.101.091.2095.24%90.95%91.74%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)
Predicción 12.99%7.70momio equitativo
EV +29.86%
Ventaja +2.99%
Kelly +3.32%
Crecimiento +0.991%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.58%13.35%13.22%20.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.556.867.0010.0021.98%14.58%14.29%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +29.86%E +2.99%K +3.32%G +0.991% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +29.86%E +2.99%K +3.32%G +0.991% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +16.88%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.356% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +16.88%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.356% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +13.63%E +1.56%K +1.76%G +0.240% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| TAB | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +10.38%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.144% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +5.19%E +0.640%K +0.731%G +0.038% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Unibet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:23 |
| theScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.89%E +0.486%K +0.556%G +0.022% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Caesars | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.90%E -6.44%K -98.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.60%E -0.347%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Fliff | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.50%EV -8.64%E -8.22%K -172.71%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.50%EV -4.55%E -0.619%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -5.85%E -0.807%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.10%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.34%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.14%EV +0.066%E +0.057%K +0.439%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.86%EV -14.42%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.59%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -16.89%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.84%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.84%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -21.43%E -3.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.08%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.28%E -3.90%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.08%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 20:58 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV -24.42%E -4.20%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -24.68%E -4.26%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 21:21 |
| Bet Right | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -25.33%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -25.33%E -4.41%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.54%E -2.27%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -28.58%E -5.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV +0.936%E +0.807%K +5.85%G +0.055% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -31.82%E -6.06%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| ReBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV +0.936%E +0.807%K +5.85%G +0.055% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -32.47%E -6.24%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -32.47%E -6.24%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 21:15 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +1.81%E +1.54%K +10.62%G +0.192% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -0.804%E -0.705%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -35.07%E -7.01%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV +4.42%E +3.68%K +22.08%G +0.975% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -40.91%E -8.99%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39% | 2.4% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 88.65% | 7.81I 12.80%NM 11.35% | 12.8% | 2026-03-23 21:25 |