L’École des cotes

Aryna Sabalenka v Hailey Baptiste

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-25 23:14 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 87.22%1.15cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -19.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.03%87.34%87.22%89.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.081.081.1295.24%92.76%92.59%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hailey Baptiste (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.78%7.83cote équitable
EV +20.73%
Avantage +2.19%
Kelly +2.45%
Croissance +0.509%

avec la cote maximale 9.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.26%12.66%12.78%14.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.657.509.4516.00%13.07%13.33%10.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.66%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.34%EV +20.73%E +2.19%K +2.45%G +0.509%2.3%2026-03-25 23:06
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +19.58%E +2.09%K +2.34%G +0.459%4.1%2026-03-25 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +19.58%E +2.09%K +2.34%G +0.459%4.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +9.87%E +1.15%K +1.30%G +0.128%5.1%2026-03-25 22:59
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%5.2%2026-03-25 23:10
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%5.2%2026-03-25 23:04
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%5.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%5.2%2026-03-25 23:09
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%6.1%2026-03-25 23:04
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%6.1%2026-03-25 23:05
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.41%E -8.01%K -168.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%7.0%2026-03-25 23:06
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.41%E -8.01%K -168.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099%7.0%2026-03-25 23:01
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +7.32%E +0.871%K +0.989%G +0.072%5.4%2026-03-25 22:59
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 88.56%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.36I 11.96%NM 11.44%EV +6.81%E +0.814%K +0.925%G +0.063%4.6%2026-03-25 23:05
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +4.76%E +0.581%K +0.662%G +0.032%4.8%2026-03-25 22:59
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%5.1%2026-03-25 22:59
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%5.1%2026-03-25 23:04
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%6.0%2026-03-25 23:03
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%6.8%2026-03-25 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -0.985%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -0.985%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 23:06
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:10
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 23:05
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 23:10
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 23:10
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 23:04
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 23:05
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 23:10
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 23:10
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 23:00
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 23:08
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 23:07
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 23:10
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -8.65%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 23:10
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.37%EV -2.31%E -2.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.63%EV -9.29%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-25 23:10
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.18%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:10
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 23:10
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:04
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:09
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:09
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:09
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 23:11
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 23:10
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 23:10
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 23:10
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.18%E -2.87%K -28.92%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -14.40%E -2.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:10
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.96%E -2.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 23:06
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -20.15%E -3.22%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%0.4%2026-03-25 23:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%0.4%2026-03-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-03-25 23:10
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-25 23:10
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-03-25 23:10
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%2.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 87.79%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.21%6.5%2026-03-25 23:10