La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Hailey Baptiste
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 87.22%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -19.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.03%87.34%87.22%89.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.081.1295.24%92.76%92.59%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hailey Baptiste (Visitante)
Predicción 12.78%7.83momio equitativo
EV +20.73%
Ventaja +2.19%
Kelly +2.45%
Crecimiento +0.509%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.26%12.66%12.78%14.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.657.509.4516.00%13.07%13.33%10.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.66%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.34%EV +20.73%E +2.19%K +2.45%G +0.509% | 2.3% | 2026-03-25 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +19.58%E +2.09%K +2.34%G +0.459% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +19.58%E +2.09%K +2.34%G +0.459% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +9.87%E +1.15%K +1.30%G +0.128% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:04 |
| BetUS | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.41%E -8.01%K -168.30%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 23:06 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.41%E -8.01%K -168.30%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +8.60%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.099% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 23:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +7.32%E +0.871%K +0.989%G +0.072% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.56%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.36I 11.96%NM 11.44%EV +6.81%E +0.814%K +0.925%G +0.063% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +4.76%E +0.581%K +0.662%G +0.032% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 23:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +2.21%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -0.985%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -0.985%E -0.127%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 23:06 |
| Unibet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 23:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -4.18%E -0.557%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 23:08 |
| Betsson | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 23:07 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -7.54%E -7.12%K -125.71%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -8.65%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.37%EV -2.31%E -2.06%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.63%EV -9.29%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.18%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 23:04 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 23:09 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.57%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 23:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 23:11 |
| BetMGM | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.67%E -6.23%K -95.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.76%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.18%E -2.87%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -14.40%E -2.15%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.96%E -2.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-25 23:06 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.05%E -3.69%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -20.15%E -3.22%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-03-25 23:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 2.1% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.79% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.21% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 23:10 |