Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.12
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 47.85%; Kimberly Birrell (Visit): 52.15%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +1.44%E +0.679%K +1.29%G +0.019% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +0.484%E +0.230%K +0.440%G +0.002% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.473%E -0.228%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.473%E -0.228%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.21%E -4.67%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.43%E -0.694%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.82%E -1.90%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.82%E -1.90%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.82%E -1.90%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 20:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 20:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -0.392%E -0.205%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.22%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.04%E -2.20%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 20:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.17%E -3.70%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.13%E -4.23%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 20:02 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.13%E -4.23%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 20:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.78%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.914%E -0.481%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.78%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.48%E -6.20%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 20:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |