L’École des cotes

Ann Li v Kimberly Birrell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Prévision 47.85%2.09cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.679%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.08%47.80%47.78%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.992.002.1254.05%50.26%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kimberly Birrell (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.15%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.392%
Avantage -0.205%
Kelly -0.431%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.20%52.22%54.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.801.801.9157.80%55.51%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +1.44%E +0.679%K +1.29%G +0.019%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +0.484%E +0.230%K +0.440%G +0.002%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 20:04
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.473%E -0.228%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 20:04
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.473%E -0.228%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.21%E -4.67%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 20:05
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -1.43%E -0.694%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 20:03
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:05
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:05
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.34%E -1.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.82%E -1.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 20:05
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.82%E -1.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 20:04
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.82%E -1.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 20:02
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 20:03
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 20:04
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 20:05
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 20:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 20:01
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 20:04
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 20:03
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 20:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:04
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:05
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:04
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -0.392%E -0.205%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 20:05
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:04
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.22%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.04%E -2.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 20:02
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:04
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:04
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:53
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:04
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 20:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 20:05
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 20:04
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.69%E -4.35%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 20:03
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 20:03
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.17%E -3.70%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 20:03
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.13%E -4.23%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:02
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.13%E -4.23%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.13%E -3.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:02
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.78%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.914%E -0.481%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:05
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.09%E -4.78%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.48%E -6.20%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 20:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-19 20:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-19 20:05
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-19 20:05
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-03-19 20:05
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-03-19 20:05