Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez v Cristina Bucsa

Início: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

62%

38%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Previsão 61.60%1.62odd justa

EV -1.44%

Vantagem -0.899%

Kelly -2.40%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

60.25%61.65%61.55%63.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.471.531.521.6068.03%65.47%65.79%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)

Previsão 38.40%2.60odd justa

EV -0.163%

Vantagem -0.063%

Kelly -0.102%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

36.89%38.35%38.45%39.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.32%40.08%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 61.60%; Cristina Bucsa (Visitante): 38.40%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.604. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.600, com valor esperado de -0.163%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Pinnacle🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -1.44%E -0.899%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -5.54%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-04-23 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.05%E -1.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-04-23 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.05%E -1.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-04-23 20:44
Coolbet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.24%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-04-24 00:25
DraftKings🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -7.46%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-23 20:40
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-23 20:55
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-24 00:22
BetUS🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-24 01:59
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-23 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-23 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-23 19:35
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-23 20:19
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-23 20:49
Bet Right🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-23 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-04-23 20:50
Betway🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-23 19:29
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-23 19:29
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-23 20:44
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-23 20:34
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-23 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-23 20:49
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.47%E -0.971%K -1.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-23 20:35
Paddy Power🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-23 20:33
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-23 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-23 22:30
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-23 19:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-23 20:40
Everygame🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-24 03:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.163%E -0.063%K -0.102%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-23 20:34
SportsBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.47%E -0.971%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-23 20:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-24 03:15
ReBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.69%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-23 22:15
Neds🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-23 19:39
GTbets🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -6.98%E -4.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-23 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 20:34
Casumo🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
BetRivers🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
TABtouch🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
LeoVegas🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
betPARX🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-23 16:09
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -2.85%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-23 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-23 16:10
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-23 11:35
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-23 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-23 19:39
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-23 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-23 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-23 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.45%E -6.43%K -20.10%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-23 21:05

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	0.5%	2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	0.5%	2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	0.5%	2026-04-24 02:35
Matchbook◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	0.5%	2026-04-24 02:35
Novig◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%	1.5%	2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%	2.2%	2026-04-23 20:34