La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zeynep Sonmez v Cristina Bucsa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Predicción 61.60%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.65%61.55%63.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.521.6068.03%65.47%65.79%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)
Predicción 38.40%2.60momio equitativo
EV -0.163%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.89%38.35%38.45%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.32%40.08%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -1.44%E -0.899%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -5.54%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.05%E -1.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.05%E -1.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.24%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -7.46%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 00:22 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.47%E -0.971%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.163%E -0.063%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.47%E -0.971%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.69%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -6.98%E -4.62%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -2.85%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.45%E -6.43%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |