La scuola delle quote

Zeynep Sonmez v Cristina Bucsa

Inizio: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Casa)

Previsione 61.60%1.62quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.899%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.25%61.65%61.55%63.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.531.521.6068.03%65.47%65.79%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cristina Bucsa (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.40%2.60quota equa
EV -0.163%
Vantaggio -0.063%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.89%38.35%38.45%39.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.32%40.08%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -1.44%E -0.899%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -5.54%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 20:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.05%E -1.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:45
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.05%E -1.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.24%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 00:25
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -7.46%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 20:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 00:22
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 01:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.61%E -3.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 20:19
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:49
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:50
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.52%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:44
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:34
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:40
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:49
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.47%E -0.971%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 20:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:33
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:40
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.163%E -0.063%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 20:34
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.47%E -0.971%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:15
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.69%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:15
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:39
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -6.98%E -4.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -4.39%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:40
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:34
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.08%E -0.817%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -2.85%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:35
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:10
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.84%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:10
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.45%E -6.43%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-23 20:34