Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Jaqueline Cristian

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 09:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prediction 56.86%1.76fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.83%56.85%58.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.86%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visit)

Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.75%43.17%43.15%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2647.62%45.61%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 56.86%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 43.14%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.07%E -0.615%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.07%E -0.615%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.07%E -0.615%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.64%E -0.947%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:59
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 09:00
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.65%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:59
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.62%E -3.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 09:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.36%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 08:59
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.36%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:59
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.32%E -4.49%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 08:58
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:59
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.46%E -5.26%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.03%E -5.64%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-23 09:00
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%5.8%2026-04-23 09:00