L’École des cotes

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prévision 56.86%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%56.83%56.85%58.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.86%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.14%2.32cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.75%43.17%43.15%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.2647.62%45.61%45.45%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.07%E -0.615%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 09:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.07%E -0.615%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.07%E -0.615%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 09:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.64%E -0.947%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 09:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:59
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 09:00
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.65%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:00
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.05%E -3.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.62%E -3.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 09:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.36%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 08:59
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.36%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 08:59
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:59
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:00
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.32%E -4.49%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 08:58
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:59
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.46%E -5.26%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:57
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.03%E -5.64%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-23 09:00
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%5.8%2026-04-23 09:00