Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend v Katie Boulter

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 16:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prediction 42.84%2.33fair odd
EV +17.82%
Edge +6.48%
Kelly +10.18%
Growth +1.81%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%43.44%42.62%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.742.132.202.7557.47%46.91%45.45%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katie Boulter (Visit)

Prediction 57.16%1.75fair odd
EV +22.89%
Edge +10.64%
Kelly +19.90%
Growth +4.55%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%56.56%57.38%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.711.622.1570.42%58.42%61.73%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 42.84%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 57.16%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -25.45%E -14.63%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +22.89%E +10.64%K +19.90%G +4.55%4.0%2026-04-22 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -25.45%E -14.63%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +22.89%E +10.64%K +19.90%G +4.55%4.0%2026-04-22 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -22.45%E -12.41%K -27.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +20.03%E +9.54%K +18.21%G +3.65%2.9%2026-04-22 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -23.31%E -13.02%K -29.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +18.31%E +8.85%K +17.12%G +3.13%4.2%2026-04-22 16:35
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -25.45%E -14.63%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +17.17%E +8.38%K +16.35%G +2.81%6.3%2026-04-22 16:33
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.46%E +7.65%K +15.15%G +2.34%4.5%2026-04-22 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%4.9%2026-04-22 16:35
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%4.9%2026-04-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -22.45%E -12.41%K -27.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%5.2%2026-04-22 16:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.88%E -12.71%K -28.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%5.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -23.31%E -13.02%K -29.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV +13.74%E +6.91%K +13.88%G +1.91%6.1%2026-04-22 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +11.45%E +5.87%K +12.06%G +1.38%6.2%2026-04-22 16:49
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -25.02%E -14.30%K -33.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +11.45%E +5.87%K +12.06%G +1.38%8.4%2026-04-22 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -22.88%E -12.71%K -28.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +9.74%E +5.07%K +10.59%G +1.03%7.6%2026-04-22 16:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -22.88%E -12.71%K -28.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +9.74%E +5.07%K +10.59%G +1.03%7.6%2026-04-22 16:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +1.17%E +0.659%K +1.52%G +0.018%4.1%2026-04-22 16:52
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.12%E -0.647%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:53
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:53
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:54
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -11.31%E -5.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.20%EV -11.31%E -5.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:52
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:53
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:54
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:54
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV +1.11%E +0.471%K +0.817%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:53
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.84%E -6.95%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.84%E -6.95%K -19.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -11.98%E -7.78%K -22.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.97%E +0.827%K +1.43%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.55%E -8.20%K -23.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +17.82%E +6.48%K +10.18%G +1.81%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -18.84%E -13.27%K -44.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +15.68%E +5.81%K +9.22%G +1.45%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -18.84%E -13.27%K -44.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +15.68%E +5.81%K +9.22%G +1.45%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -18.84%E -13.27%K -44.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%6.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 60.00%1.50I 66.67%NM 40.00%66.7%2026-04-22 16:54