La escuela de los momios

Taylor Townsend v Katie Boulter

Inicio: 2026-04-22 16:55 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Predicción 42.84%2.33momio equitativo
EV +17.82%
Ventaja +6.48%
Kelly +10.18%
Crecimiento +1.81%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%43.44%42.62%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.742.132.202.7557.47%46.91%45.45%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katie Boulter (Visitante)

Predicción 57.16%1.75momio equitativo
EV +22.89%
Ventaja +10.64%
Kelly +19.90%
Crecimiento +4.55%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%56.56%57.38%65.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.711.622.1570.42%58.42%61.73%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -25.45%E -14.63%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +22.89%E +10.64%K +19.90%G +4.55%4.0%2026-04-22 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -25.45%E -14.63%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +22.89%E +10.64%K +19.90%G +4.55%4.0%2026-04-22 16:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -22.45%E -12.41%K -27.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +20.03%E +9.54%K +18.21%G +3.65%2.9%2026-04-22 16:50
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -23.31%E -13.02%K -29.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +18.31%E +8.85%K +17.12%G +3.13%4.2%2026-04-22 16:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -25.45%E -14.63%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +17.17%E +8.38%K +16.35%G +2.81%6.3%2026-04-22 16:33
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +15.46%E +7.65%K +15.15%G +2.34%4.5%2026-04-22 16:39
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%4.9%2026-04-22 16:35
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%4.9%2026-04-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -22.45%E -12.41%K -27.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%5.2%2026-04-22 16:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.88%E -12.71%K -28.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +14.31%E +7.16%K +14.31%G +2.05%5.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Betr (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -23.31%E -13.02%K -29.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV +13.74%E +6.91%K +13.88%G +1.91%6.1%2026-04-22 16:35
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -22.02%E -12.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +11.45%E +5.87%K +12.06%G +1.38%6.2%2026-04-22 16:49
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -25.02%E -14.30%K -33.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +11.45%E +5.87%K +12.06%G +1.38%8.4%2026-04-22 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -22.88%E -12.71%K -28.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +9.74%E +5.07%K +10.59%G +1.03%7.6%2026-04-22 16:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -22.88%E -12.71%K -28.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +9.74%E +5.07%K +10.59%G +1.03%7.6%2026-04-22 16:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +1.17%E +0.659%K +1.52%G +0.018%4.1%2026-04-22 16:52
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.12%E -0.647%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:53
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:53
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:54
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -11.31%E -5.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.20%EV -11.31%E -5.47%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:52
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:54
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:53
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.96%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:54
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:54
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV +1.11%E +0.471%K +0.817%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.46%E -0.635%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:53
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.84%E -6.95%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.84%E -6.95%K -19.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:54
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -11.98%E -7.78%K -22.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.97%E +0.827%K +1.43%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.55%E -8.20%K -23.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +17.82%E +6.48%K +10.18%G +1.81%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -18.84%E -13.27%K -44.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +15.68%E +5.81%K +9.22%G +1.45%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -18.84%E -13.27%K -44.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:54
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +15.68%E +5.81%K +9.22%G +1.45%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -18.84%E -13.27%K -44.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%6.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 60.00%1.50I 66.67%NM 40.00%66.7%2026-04-22 16:54