A Escola das Odds

Tatjana Maria v Laura Samson

Início: 2026-04-21 09:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Previsão 45.57%2.19odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.725%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.04%45.65%45.33%50.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.092.122.2353.19%47.75%47.17%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Laura Samson (Visitante)

Previsão 54.43%1.84odd justa
EV +5.05%
Vantagem +2.62%
Kelly +5.43%
Crescimento +0.275%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.34%54.35%54.67%56.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.701.9360.61%57.86%58.82%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -14.33%E -7.62%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +5.05%E +2.62%K +5.43%G +0.275%5.0%2026-04-21 08:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.698%E +0.377%K +0.822%G +0.006%5.3%2026-04-21 09:10
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -13.42%E -7.06%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.698%E +0.377%K +0.822%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-21 09:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.390%E -0.213%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 09:10
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.48%E -0.817%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 09:10
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 09:09
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 09:09
ReBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.13%E -2.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 08:58
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.58%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:10
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.13%E -2.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.58%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 09:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 09:10
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:04
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:06
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +1.62%E +0.725%K +1.32%G +0.021%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 09:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 09:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.58%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 09:06
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 09:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.56%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:10
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +0.706%E +0.320%K +0.584%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:06
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:09
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 09:10
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-04-21 09:10
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%3.5%2026-04-21 09:08