L’École des cotes

Tatjana Maria v Laura Samson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 09:14 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Prévision 45.57%2.19cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.725%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.04%45.65%45.33%50.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.092.122.2353.19%47.75%47.17%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Laura Samson (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.43%1.84cote équitable
EV +5.05%
Avantage +2.62%
Kelly +5.43%
Croissance +0.275%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.34%54.35%54.67%56.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.701.9360.61%57.86%58.82%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -14.33%E -7.62%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +5.05%E +2.62%K +5.43%G +0.275%5.0%2026-04-21 08:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.698%E +0.377%K +0.822%G +0.006%5.3%2026-04-21 09:10
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -13.42%E -7.06%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.698%E +0.377%K +0.822%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-21 09:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.390%E -0.213%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 09:10
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.48%E -0.817%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 09:10
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 09:09
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 09:09
ReBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.13%E -2.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 08:58
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.58%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 09:10
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.13%E -2.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.58%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 09:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 09:10
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:04
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:06
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +1.62%E +0.725%K +1.32%G +0.021%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 09:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 09:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.57%E -0.728%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.58%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 09:06
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 09:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.56%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:10
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +0.706%E +0.320%K +0.584%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:06
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.03%E -0.943%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 09:09
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 09:10
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.39%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 09:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-21 09:10
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-04-21 09:10
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%3.5%2026-04-21 09:08