Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 74.89%; Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit): 25.11%. For Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +6.72%E +1.58%K +2.07%G +0.139% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.64%E -4.48%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.64%E -7.08%K -39.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.64%E -7.08%K -39.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.813%E -0.206%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV -1.06%E -0.270%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.64%E -4.48%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -2.57%E -0.662%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.89%E -3.85%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.64%E -7.08%K -39.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.89%E -3.85%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.59%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.59%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.89%E -3.85%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.64%E -4.48%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 21:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.397%E -0.299%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -18.39%E -5.66%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |