L’École des cotes

Sorana Cirstea v Tyra Caterina Grant

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 74.89%1.34cote équitable
EV -0.397%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%74.88%74.55%77.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.251.3381.97%79.45%80.00%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tyra Caterina Grant (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV +6.72%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.139%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.45%25.12%25.45%29.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.853.824.2530.77%25.96%26.18%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +6.72%E +1.58%K +2.07%G +0.139%4.8%2026-04-23 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.64%E -4.48%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-24 02:40
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:15
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:15
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:15
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:15
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.95%E +0.720%K +0.953%G +0.028%5.0%2026-04-23 12:15
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.6%2026-04-23 21:35
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.14%E -5.76%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.6%2026-04-23 12:59
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.64%E -7.08%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-23 03:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.64%E -7.08%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.443%E +0.111%K +0.148%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-23 16:54
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.813%E -0.206%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:13
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV -1.06%E -0.270%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 21:44
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.64%E -4.48%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:14
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.89%E -6.41%K -34.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:15
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -2.57%E -0.662%K -0.892%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 10:34
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.89%E -3.85%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:40
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:40
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.64%E -7.08%K -39.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 21:15
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 23:55
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:33
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:34
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:14
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.89%E -3.85%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:39
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.59%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:34
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.59%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:34
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 23:15
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.89%E -3.85%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:39
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:40
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.39%E -2.63%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:39
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:40
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.64%E -4.48%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:13
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.64%E -2.03%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 23:34
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.14%E -3.24%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 23:35
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.39%E -5.11%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 23:34
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.397%E -0.299%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -18.39%E -5.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%2.9%2026-04-24 03:15