A Escola das Odds

Robin Montgomery v Magda Linette

Início: 2026-04-21 14:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Robin Montgomery (Local)

Previsão 40.92%2.44odd justa
EV +0.249%
Vantagem +0.102%
Kelly +0.172%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.60%40.81%40.66%44.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.332.352.4547.62%43.00%42.55%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Previsão 59.08%1.69odd justa
EV -0.742%
Vantagem -0.442%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.00%59.19%59.34%61.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.86%63.49%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.249%E +0.102%K +0.172%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.01%E -5.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 14:12
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 14:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 14:17
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 14:19
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 14:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:16
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 14:19
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 14:19
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 14:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.48%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -0.742%E -0.442%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 14:20
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.33%E -0.798%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.33%E -0.798%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:17
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 14:16
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 14:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.83%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.43%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 14:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 14:20
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 14:20
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 14:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 14:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 14:16
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 14:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-21 14:20