مدرسة الاحتمالات

Robin Montgomery v Magda Linette

البداية: 2026-04-21 14:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Robin Montgomery (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.92%2.44السعر العادل
EV +0.249%
الأفضلية +0.102%
Kelly +0.172%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.60%40.81%40.66%44.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.332.352.4547.62%43.00%42.55%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Magda Linette (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.08%1.69السعر العادل
EV -0.742%
الأفضلية -0.442%
Kelly -1.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.00%59.19%59.34%61.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.86%63.49%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.249%E +0.102%K +0.172%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.01%E -5.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 14:12
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 14:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 14:17
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 14:19
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 14:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:16
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 14:19
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 14:19
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 14:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.48%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -0.742%E -0.442%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 14:20
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.33%E -0.798%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.33%E -0.798%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:17
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 14:16
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 14:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.83%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.43%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 14:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 14:20
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 14:20
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 14:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 14:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 14:16
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 14:16
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-21 14:20