L’École des cotes

Robin Montgomery v Magda Linette

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 14:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Robin Montgomery (Local)

Prévision 40.92%2.44cote équitable
EV +0.249%
Avantage +0.102%
Kelly +0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.60%40.81%40.66%44.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.352.4547.62%43.00%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magda Linette (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.08%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.742%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%59.19%59.34%61.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.86%63.49%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.249%E +0.102%K +0.172%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.01%E -5.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 14:12
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 14:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.80%E -0.749%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 14:17
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 14:19
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 14:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:16
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.02%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 14:19
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 14:19
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 14:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.07%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 14:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.48%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -0.742%E -0.442%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 14:20
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.33%E -0.798%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.33%E -0.798%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:17
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 14:16
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 14:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.83%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.43%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 14:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.89%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.60%E -6.28%K -18.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 14:20
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 14:20
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.71%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 14:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 14:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 14:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.98%E -4.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 14:16
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 14:16
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-04-21 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-21 14:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-04-21 14:20
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-21 14:20