Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng v Sofia Kenin

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prediction 76.18%1.31fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.99%76.19%78.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.02%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Visit)

Prediction 23.82%4.20fair odd
EV +3.63%
Edge +0.833%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%24.01%23.81%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.944.004.3527.78%25.39%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 76.18%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 23.82%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.63%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039%5.0%2026-04-23 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.43%E +0.566%K +0.738%G +0.018%3.3%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.43%E +0.566%K +0.738%G +0.018%4.6%2026-04-24 02:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.052%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -0.424%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:24
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:24
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.52%E -0.869%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.76%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.76%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:09
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -4.00%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 21:19
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:55
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:14
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:25
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:14
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.57%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:44
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:54
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.48%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:30
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.48%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:20
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:44
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:19
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25