La escuela de los momios

Qinwen Zheng v Sofia Kenin

Inicio: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Predicción 76.18%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -5.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%75.99%76.19%78.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.02%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 23.82%4.20momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +0.833%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%24.01%23.81%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.944.004.3527.78%25.39%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +3.63%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039%5.0%2026-04-23 12:04
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.43%E +0.566%K +0.738%G +0.018%3.3%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.43%E +0.566%K +0.738%G +0.018%4.6%2026-04-24 02:55
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.052%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:05
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -0.424%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 00:25
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:24
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:24
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.52%E -0.869%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 21:50
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.76%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.76%E -0.930%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -4.00%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 21:19
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:04
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 11:15
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:55
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:24
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:14
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:25
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:14
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -7.57%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 11:25
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:44
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:15
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:54
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:54
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.48%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:30
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.48%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:20
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:09
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:44
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:34
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:05
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-04-24 00:19
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25