Language:English
Peyton Stearns v Lois Boisson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Prediction 68.07%1.47fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.08%68.00%69.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4375.19%71.94%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lois Boisson (Visit)
Prediction 31.93%3.13fair odd
EV -0.062%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.92%32.00%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.903.1335.71%33.89%34.48%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 68.07%; Lois Boisson (Visit): 31.93%. For Lois Boisson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.132. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.130, with an expected value of -0.062%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.68%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.45%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 17:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.62%E -0.858%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 17:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 17:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:32 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:32 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36% | 2.7% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |