La escuela de los momios

Peyton Stearns v Lois Boisson

Inicio: 2026-04-21 17:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Predicción 68.07%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -6.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%68.08%68.00%69.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4375.19%71.94%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lois Boisson (Visitante)

Predicción 31.93%3.13momio equitativo
EV -0.062%
Ventaja -0.020%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%31.92%32.00%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.952.903.1335.71%33.89%34.48%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.68%E -3.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:34
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:34
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 17:35
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -0.062%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 17:29
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.45%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:34
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:35
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 17:34
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:35
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 17:35
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 17:35
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 17:35
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:35
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:31
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 17:35
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.62%E -0.858%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:35
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:35
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:31
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:35
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:34
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:35
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:35
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:35
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:34
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:31
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:35
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 17:29
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.42%E -5.46%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 17:35
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 17:32
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 17:32
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 17:32
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 17:33
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.47%E -7.12%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.02%E -0.329%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 17:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-04-21 17:35
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%2.7%2026-04-21 17:35
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-04-21 17:35