Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 62.14%; Kimberly Birrell (Visit): 37.86%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV +2.53%E +1.53%K +3.89%G +0.098% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -11.40%E -4.87%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 05:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +0.042%E +0.026%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 02:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.20%E -0.755%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.82%E -1.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -1.82%E -1.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -8.00%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 07:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 05:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.802%E -0.306%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 08:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.802%E -0.306%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.00%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.00%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.92%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.47%E +0.548%K +0.875%G +0.013% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 08:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV +1.09%E +0.409%K +0.653%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 08:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.802%E -0.306%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.83%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.41%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -0.423%E -0.161%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 08:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.90%E -6.83%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |