La escuela de los momios

Panna Udvardy v Kimberly Birrell

Inicio: 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Predicción 62.14%1.61momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +3.89%
Crecimiento +0.098%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.65%62.11%62.03%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.6568.97%65.33%65.36%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kimberly Birrell (Visitante)

Predicción 37.86%2.64momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.875%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.89%37.97%41.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.482.6843.48%40.21%40.32%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV +2.53%E +1.53%K +3.89%G +0.098%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -11.40%E -4.87%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 05:14
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +0.042%E +0.026%K +0.069%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 02:40
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.20%E -0.755%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.82%E -1.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 08:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -1.82%E -1.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:28
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -8.00%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 07:44
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 05:25
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 08:54
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:28
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:29
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:45
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.802%E -0.306%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 08:20
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.802%E -0.306%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 08:19
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 08:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.00%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 08:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.00%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 08:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 08:53
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.92%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 08:50
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.47%E +0.548%K +0.875%G +0.013%3.1%2026-04-22 08:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 08:55
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 08:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 08:03
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 07:00
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV +1.09%E +0.409%K +0.653%G +0.007%3.7%2026-04-22 08:48
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.802%E -0.306%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 08:39
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:54
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:40
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:38
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.600%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:40
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.83%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 08:30
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 08:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 08:29
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.41%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -0.423%E -0.161%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 08:28
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.35%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 08:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.90%E -6.83%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 08:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-22 08:54
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-22 08:55
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-04-22 08:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%3.2%2026-04-22 08:40