Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Moyuka Uchijima v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 11:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Moyuka Uchijima (Local)

Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV +16.30%
Edge +4.05%
Kelly +5.40%
Growth +0.880%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%29.61%28.74%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.403.053.104.0241.67%32.75%32.26%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)

Prediction 71.07%1.41fair odd
EV +10.87%
Edge +6.97%
Kelly +19.41%
Growth +2.11%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%70.39%71.26%76.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.371.331.5680.65%72.98%75.19%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moyuka Uchijima (Local): 28.93%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 71.07%. For Moyuka Uchijima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -25.36%E -9.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV +10.87%E +6.97%K +19.41%G +2.11%2.9%2026-04-22 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -26.81%E -10.60%K -17.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +10.87%E +6.97%K +19.41%G +2.11%3.6%2026-04-22 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -26.81%E -10.60%K -17.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +10.87%E +6.97%K +19.41%G +2.11%3.6%2026-04-22 11:24
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -26.23%E -10.29%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +9.45%E +6.13%K +17.50%G +1.65%4.2%2026-04-22 11:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +8.74%E +5.71%K +16.49%G +1.44%5.4%2026-04-22 11:24
GTbets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -23.62%E -8.95%K -14.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV +8.03%E +5.28%K +15.44%G +1.24%3.7%2026-04-22 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +8.03%E +5.28%K +15.44%G +1.24%5.8%2026-04-22 11:33
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -25.36%E -9.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV +7.32%E +4.84%K +14.34%G +1.05%5.0%2026-04-22 11:24
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -24.20%E -9.24%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +6.61%E +4.40%K +13.21%G +0.873%4.8%2026-04-22 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -26.23%E -10.29%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +6.61%E +4.40%K +13.21%G +0.873%5.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -30.57%E -12.74%K -21.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV +6.61%E +4.40%K +13.21%G +0.873%8.3%2026-04-22 11:24
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -23.34%E -8.81%K -14.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV +5.89%E +3.96%K +12.03%G +0.709%4.8%2026-04-22 11:24
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +5.18%E +3.50%K +10.80%G +0.560%7.6%2026-04-22 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +5.18%E +3.50%K +10.80%G +0.560%7.6%2026-04-22 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -19.86%E -7.17%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV +3.05%E +2.10%K +6.78%G +0.207%5.1%2026-04-22 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV +3.05%E +2.10%K +6.78%G +0.207%9.0%2026-04-22 11:24
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -19.00%E -6.78%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -0.502%E -0.359%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:38
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.66%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -2.63%E -1.92%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:39
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:39
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:39
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:40
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.76%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:40
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.76%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:39
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -17.55%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -17.55%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -4.77%E -3.56%K -14.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 11:40
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.48%E -4.12%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:40
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.48%E -4.12%K -16.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 11:39
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%EV -12.34%E -4.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 11:40
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 11:39
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.45%E -8.30%K -40.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 11:39
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +7.04%E +1.90%K +2.61%G +0.184%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -11.16%E -8.93%K -44.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -11.16%E -8.93%K -44.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 11:39
DraftKings🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV +16.30%E +4.05%K +5.40%G +0.880%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -11.87%E -9.58%K -49.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-04-22 11:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-22 11:40
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-04-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.7%2026-04-22 11:40
Novig3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%5.7%2026-04-22 11:39