L’École des cotes

Moyuka Uchijima v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 11:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Moyuka Uchijima (Local)

Prévision 28.93%3.46cote équitable
EV +16.30%
Avantage +4.05%
Kelly +5.40%
Croissance +0.880%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%29.61%28.74%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.403.053.104.0241.67%32.75%32.26%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.07%1.41cote équitable
EV +10.87%
Avantage +6.97%
Kelly +19.41%
Croissance +2.11%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%70.39%71.26%76.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.371.331.5680.65%72.98%75.19%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -25.36%E -9.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV +10.87%E +6.97%K +19.41%G +2.11%2.9%2026-04-22 11:39
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -26.81%E -10.60%K -17.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +10.87%E +6.97%K +19.41%G +2.11%3.6%2026-04-22 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -26.81%E -10.60%K -17.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV +10.87%E +6.97%K +19.41%G +2.11%3.6%2026-04-22 11:24
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -26.23%E -10.29%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +9.45%E +6.13%K +17.50%G +1.65%4.2%2026-04-22 11:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +8.74%E +5.71%K +16.49%G +1.44%5.4%2026-04-22 11:24
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -23.62%E -8.95%K -14.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV +8.03%E +5.28%K +15.44%G +1.24%3.7%2026-04-22 11:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +8.03%E +5.28%K +15.44%G +1.24%5.8%2026-04-22 11:33
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -25.36%E -9.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV +7.32%E +4.84%K +14.34%G +1.05%5.0%2026-04-22 11:24
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -24.20%E -9.24%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +6.61%E +4.40%K +13.21%G +0.873%4.8%2026-04-22 11:24
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -26.23%E -10.29%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +6.61%E +4.40%K +13.21%G +0.873%5.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -30.57%E -12.74%K -21.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV +6.61%E +4.40%K +13.21%G +0.873%8.3%2026-04-22 11:24
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -23.34%E -8.81%K -14.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV +5.89%E +3.96%K +12.03%G +0.709%4.8%2026-04-22 11:24
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +5.18%E +3.50%K +10.80%G +0.560%7.6%2026-04-22 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV +5.18%E +3.50%K +10.80%G +0.560%7.6%2026-04-22 11:25
SportsBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -19.86%E -7.17%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV +3.05%E +2.10%K +6.78%G +0.207%5.1%2026-04-22 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -27.68%E -11.07%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV +3.05%E +2.10%K +6.78%G +0.207%9.0%2026-04-22 11:24
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -19.00%E -6.78%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -0.502%E -0.359%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:38
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.66%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -2.63%E -1.92%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:39
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:39
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:39
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.34%E -2.46%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:40
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.76%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:40
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.76%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:39
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -17.55%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.06%E -3.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -17.55%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -4.77%E -3.56%K -14.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 11:40
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.48%E -4.12%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:40
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.48%E -4.12%K -16.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 11:39
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%EV -12.34%E -4.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.21%E -4.40%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.19%E -4.69%K -19.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.64%E -0.482%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 11:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.61%E -5.85%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +1.25%E +0.359%K +0.502%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 11:39
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.32%E -6.45%K -28.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 11:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.87%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.45%E -8.30%K -40.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 11:39
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +7.04%E +1.90%K +2.61%G +0.184%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -11.16%E -8.93%K -44.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:39
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -11.16%E -8.93%K -44.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 11:39
DraftKings4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV +16.30%E +4.05%K +5.40%G +0.880%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -11.87%E -9.58%K -49.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-04-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-04-22 11:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-22 11:40
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-04-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.7%2026-04-22 11:40
Novig3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%5.7%2026-04-22 11:39