Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v Maria Sakkari
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 43.87%2.28fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.071%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%43.75%43.93%46.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.182.3550.00%45.76%45.87%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Sakkari (Visit)
Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV -0.094%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.89%56.25%56.07%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.671.7864.10%59.81%59.88%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 43.87%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 56.13%. For Karolina Pliskova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +3.10%E +1.32%K +2.30%G +0.071% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.908%E +0.395%K +0.699%G +0.006% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.16%E -0.970%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.16%E -0.970%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.16%E -0.970%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.04%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.04%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.83%E -4.11%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.99%E -3.30%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -3.04%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.094%E -0.053%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.094%E -0.053%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.25%E -6.13%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |