A Escola das Odds

Karolina Pliskova v Maria Sakkari

Início: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Previsão 43.87%2.28odd justa
EV +3.10%
Vantagem +1.32%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescimento +0.071%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.90%43.75%43.93%46.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.192.182.3550.00%45.76%45.87%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Maria Sakkari (Visitante)

Previsão 56.13%1.78odd justa
EV -0.094%
Vantagem -0.053%
Kelly -0.121%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.89%56.25%56.07%60.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.671.671.7864.10%59.81%59.88%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +3.10%E +1.32%K +2.30%G +0.071%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:06
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.908%E +0.395%K +0.699%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:29
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.51%E -5.22%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 23:44
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:09
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.16%E -0.970%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.16%E -0.970%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.16%E -0.970%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:34
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:35
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:25
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 11:05
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:30
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:35
Unibet (UK)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:09
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:39
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 02:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 11:10
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:39
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 20:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:09
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.83%E -4.11%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:05
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.99%E -3.30%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:14
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:39
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -3.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:24
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.094%E -0.053%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:14
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.094%E -0.053%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.06%E -4.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.25%E -6.13%K -12.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-04-23 22:05
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.5%2026-04-24 03:15