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Kaitlin Quevedo v Venus Williams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)
Prediction 78.04%1.28fair odd
EV -0.887%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.75%77.56%78.43%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.211.2784.75%82.51%82.64%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Venus Williams (Visit)
Prediction 21.96%4.55fair odd
EV +4.30%
Edge +0.906%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%22.44%21.57%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.294.404.7527.03%23.30%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kaitlin Quevedo (Local): 78.04%; Venus Williams (Visit): 21.96%. For Venus Williams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.30%E +0.906%K +1.15%G +0.049% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -4.01%E -3.26%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV +2.33%E +0.499%K +0.635%G +0.015% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.01%E +0.219%K +0.280%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.01%E +0.219%K +0.280%G +0.003% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 15:17 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.968%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.968%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 15:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.68%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.87%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 15:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.23%E -2.60%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.36%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -0.887%E -0.698%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -16.12%E -4.22%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -0.887%E -0.698%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -16.56%E -4.36%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.66%E -4.71%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.75%E -5.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.75%E -5.07%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 15:20 |