L’École des cotes

Kaitlin Quevedo v Venus Williams

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)

Prévision 78.04%1.28cote équitable
EV -0.887%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.75%77.56%78.43%80.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.211.211.2784.75%82.51%82.64%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venus Williams (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.96%4.55cote équitable
EV +4.30%
Avantage +0.906%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%22.44%21.57%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.294.404.7527.03%23.30%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.30%E +0.906%K +1.15%G +0.049%5.8%2026-04-21 15:20
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -4.01%E -3.26%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV +2.33%E +0.499%K +0.635%G +0.015%2.8%2026-04-21 15:10
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.01%E +0.219%K +0.280%G +0.003%5.8%2026-04-21 15:10
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.01%E +0.219%K +0.280%G +0.003%6.5%2026-04-21 15:17
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.968%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -0.968%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 15:19
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 15:10
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 15:20
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:10
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.19%E -0.264%K -0.339%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 15:10
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 15:20
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.38%E -0.769%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 15:20
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.57%E -4.60%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 15:15
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 15:15
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.91%E -6.70%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.58%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 15:09
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.68%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 15:15
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:20
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.87%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:10
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:10
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:08
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.23%E -2.60%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 15:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 15:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 15:20
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.36%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 15:15
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -0.887%E -0.698%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -16.12%E -4.22%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 15:10
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -0.887%E -0.698%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -16.56%E -4.36%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.66%E -4.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 15:20
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.75%E -5.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.45%E -1.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.75%E -5.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-21 15:20
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-04-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-04-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-04-21 15:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%2.6%2026-04-21 15:20