Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Katie Boulter
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 83.44%1.20fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -8.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.39%83.45%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1890.91%87.57%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katie Boulter (Visit)
Prediction 16.56%6.04fair odd
EV +7.62%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.61%16.55%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.595.506.5020.00%17.89%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 83.44%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 16.56%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.04. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.62%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.106% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +5.96%E +0.932%K +1.10%G +0.066% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +5.30%E +0.834%K +0.989%G +0.052% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +4.31%E +0.684%K +0.813%G +0.035% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.48%E +0.557%K +0.663%G +0.023% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.63%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.37%EV +2.98%E +0.480%K +0.571%G +0.017% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.21%E -2.76%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.21%E -7.47%K -82.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -2.31%E -0.392%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.97%E -0.685%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.97%E -0.685%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.63%E -0.987%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -5.63%E -0.987%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.45%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.52%EV -1.54%E -1.30%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.48%EV -7.78%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:07 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV -1.54%E -1.30%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.21%E -2.76%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.10%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.21%E -2.76%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.10%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 02:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.05% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.95% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |