La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Katie Boulter

Inicio: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 83.44%1.20momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -8.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.04%83.39%83.45%85.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1890.91%87.57%87.72%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katie Boulter (Visitante)

Predicción 16.56%6.04momio equitativo
EV +7.62%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.106%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%16.61%16.55%18.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.595.506.5020.00%17.89%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.62%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.106%4.7%2026-04-23 15:40
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +5.96%E +0.932%K +1.10%G +0.066%4.1%2026-04-23 12:00
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +5.30%E +0.834%K +0.989%G +0.052%3.4%2026-04-23 15:50
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +4.31%E +0.684%K +0.813%G +0.035%5.2%2026-04-23 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.48%E +0.557%K +0.663%G +0.023%3.7%2026-04-23 12:15
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.63%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.37%EV +2.98%E +0.480%K +0.571%G +0.017%4.6%2026-04-23 20:40
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.21%E -2.76%K -20.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:09
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:05
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.21%E -7.47%K -82.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -0.659%E -0.110%K -0.132%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -2.31%E -0.392%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:15
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.97%E -0.685%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:29
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.97%E -0.685%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:49
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:00
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.80%E -0.835%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.63%E -0.987%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -5.63%E -0.987%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.45%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:00
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.52%EV -1.54%E -1.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.48%EV -7.78%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 22:44
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:07
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:39
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:39
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:39
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:24
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:19
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV -1.54%E -1.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 01:55
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.21%E -2.76%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.10%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 20:20
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.21%E -2.76%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -10.10%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 20:19
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:29
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:09
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:35
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:39
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.87%E -4.28%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:39
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:15
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 02:45
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 03:04
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 03:05
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.37%E -2.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 23:09
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.71%E -5.05%K -43.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-04-23 21:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-04-23 21:45
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.05%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.95%2.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-04-23 21:29