Language:English
Janice Tjen v Maria Sakkari
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Janice Tjen (Local)
Prediction 35.32%2.83fair odd
EV +5.26%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.68%35.20%35.18%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.702.752.9841.67%37.03%36.36%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Sakkari (Visit)
Prediction 64.68%1.55fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%64.80%64.82%68.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.451.441.5374.63%69.02%69.69%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 35.32%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 64.68%. For Janice Tjen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +5.26%E +1.77%K +2.66%G +0.140% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV +4.55%E +1.54%K +2.32%G +0.106% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -8.80%E -6.24%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 31.68%EV +2.08%E +0.720%K +1.10%G +0.023% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.33%E -9.95%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.16%E -5.74%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.16%E -5.74%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -8.80%E -6.24%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 02:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-20 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 14:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 14:17 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%EV -6.75%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%EV -8.16%E -5.74%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.87%E -3.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.04%E -0.682%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.04%E -0.682%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.80%E -6.24%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-20 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.11% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 55.89% | 22.5% | 2026-04-20 19:10 |