L’École des cotes

Janice Tjen v Maria Sakkari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prévision 35.32%2.83cote équitable
EV +5.26%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +2.66%
Croissance +0.140%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.68%35.20%35.18%38.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.702.752.9841.67%37.03%36.36%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Maria Sakkari (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.68%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%64.80%64.82%68.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.451.441.5374.63%69.02%69.69%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +5.26%E +1.77%K +2.66%G +0.140%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 13:45
FanDuel2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV +4.55%E +1.54%K +2.32%G +0.106%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -8.80%E -6.24%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 13:49
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 31.68%EV +2.08%E +0.720%K +1.10%G +0.023%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.33%E -9.95%K -39.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:25
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 02:24
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:55
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 14:20
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 14:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.16%E -5.74%K -19.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 02:24
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.16%E -5.74%K -19.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 02:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 19:05
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -8.80%E -6.24%K -21.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 02:24
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 17:29
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 17:50
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:18
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:17
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%EV -6.75%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%EV -8.16%E -5.74%K -19.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 17:30
DraftKings2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 17:30
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 16:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 16:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.87%E -3.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 15:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 15:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.04%E -0.682%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.04%E -0.682%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 12:19
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 12:25
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -15.23%E -6.34%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.80%E -6.24%K -21.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-20 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%3.4%2026-04-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%3.4%2026-04-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%3.4%2026-04-21 13:30
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%10.3%2026-04-20 14:20
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 44.11%1.46I 68.49%NM 55.89%22.5%2026-04-20 19:10