Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 67.50%; Alina Charaeva (Visit): 32.50%. For Janice Tjen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +47.14%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +47.14%E +21.62%K +39.95%G +18.83% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -44.09%E -25.64%K -61.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +45.79%E +21.20%K +39.48%G +18.08% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -43.44%E -24.97%K -58.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +39.72%E +19.19%K +37.12%G +14.74% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -42.79%E -24.31%K -56.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +39.72%E +19.19%K +37.12%G +14.74% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -42.79%E -24.31%K -56.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -41.49%E -23.05%K -51.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 13:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -43.77%E -25.30%K -59.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -44.74%E -26.32%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -44.74%E -26.32%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +37.69%E +18.48%K +36.24%G +13.66% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -39.87%E -21.55%K -46.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +37.02%E +18.24%K +35.94%G +13.30% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -41.82%E -23.36%K -52.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +36.34%E +17.99%K +35.63%G +12.95% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -40.84%E -22.44%K -49.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +36.34%E +17.99%K +35.63%G +12.95% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -41.49%E -23.05%K -51.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -41.49%E -23.05%K -51.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -42.14%E -23.68%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -42.14%E -23.68%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 13:33 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -44.74%E -26.32%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +7.32%E +4.60%K +12.41%G +0.908% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -25.24%E -10.97%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 13:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +3.94%E +2.56%K +7.30%G +0.288% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -17.12%E -6.71%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 13:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.13%E -1.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -2.80%E -1.95%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -17.12%E -6.71%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 13:42 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.15%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.45%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -11.59%E -4.26%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 13:43 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV +1.09%E +0.349%K +0.515%G +0.006% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.01%E +1.25%K +1.82%G +0.073% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.64%E +1.73%K +2.51%G +0.141% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +4.01%E +1.25%K +1.82%G +0.073% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -11.58%E -8.84%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +5.64%E +1.73%K +2.51%G +0.141% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -12.25%E -9.43%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +7.26%E +2.20%K +3.16%G +0.229% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.25%E -9.43%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +4.01%E +1.25%K +1.82%G +0.073% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.25%E -9.43%K -40.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -12.93%E -10.02%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +13.76%E +3.93%K +5.50%G +0.758% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -12.93%E -10.02%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +10.51%E +3.09%K +4.38%G +0.460% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -13.60%E -10.63%K -48.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +13.76%E +3.93%K +5.50%G +0.758% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -13.60%E -10.63%K -48.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 75.25% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 24.75% | 32.9% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |